Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sky Sports app


	Darmstadt		Köln

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.72	Watch
	3.9	4.1	1.78
	4	4	1.75	Watch
	4.21	4.26	1.79
	4.24	4.14	1.79	Watch
	3.9	4	1.75
	4.11	4.15	1.77	Watch
	4	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (4.05)	4.07 ↓ (4.19)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
23.2%

Draw
23.2%

Köln
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

22.5%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

24.8%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	6.9%	79.3%

Darmstadt - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 38. Riedel C. (C) 20. Vukotic A. 15. Nurnberger F. 18. Forster P. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Muller A. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.	40. Urbig J. (G) 18. Carstensen R. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 19. Lemperle T. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 42. Downs D.
Substitutes
3. Bueno G. 11. Kempe T. 19. Lakenmacher F. 5. Maglica M. 8. Marseiler L. 22. Niemczycki K. (G) 21. Papela M. 13. Thiede M. 29. Vilhelmsson O.	23. Adamyan S. 33. Dietz F. 35. Finkgrafe M. 3. Heintz D. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 29. Thielmann J.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Hornby F. ⚽, Forster P. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Lemperle T. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Hornby F. ⚽, Lidberg I. (A),
41', Lidberg I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lemperle T. 🟨,
54', 3 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽, Hornby F. (A),
61', Hornby F. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
61', Corredor K. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
62', Pauli J. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
62', Carstensen R. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Forster P. ⚽, Marseiler L. (A),
68', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
68', Lemperle T. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
69', Forster P. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
76', Downs D. ↓, Adamyan S. ↑,
77', Lidberg I. ↓, Vilhelmsson O. ↑,
77', Lopez S. ↓, Thiede M. ↑,
90', Vilhelmsson O. 🟨,
90+2', Kainz F. 🟨,
90+3', Hubers T. 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 1, Vukotic A. ⚽, Nurnberger F. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Köln have a series of home games.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Uth M. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Vilhelmsson O. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Ljubicic D. (Illness)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:17 (average 0.8:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:10 (average 0.3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
Club Friendly
08.10.24	Darmstadt - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
28.09.24	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	3:5 ✺
14.09.24	Darmstadt - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLWT
- 1. FC Köln
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Köln - Bochum	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Köln - Karlsruher	4:4 ✺
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.04.24	Köln - Darmstadt	0:2
01.12.23	Darmstadt - Köln	0:1
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.19	Köln - Darmstadt	1:2
24.11.18	Darmstadt - Köln	0:3
German Bundesliga
28.01.17	Darmstadt - Köln	1:6
27.08.16	Köln - Darmstadt	2:0
23.04.16	Köln - Darmstadt	4:1

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