Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 4
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 2
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Montenegro	18:30	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	18:30	Viaplay
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovakia	18:30	Sport TV2
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	19:30	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	17:30	Sky Sports+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	16:30	Disney+, Onefootball app, Sky Sports app


	Darmstadt		Köln

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.72	Watch
	3.9	4.1	1.78
	4	4	1.75	Watch
	4.21	4.26	1.79
	4.24	4.14	1.79	Watch
	3.9	4	1.75
	4.11	4.15	1.77	Watch
	4	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (4.05)	4.07 ↓ (4.19)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
23.2%

Draw
23.2%

Köln
53.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.3%

22.5%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

24.8%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	6.9%	79.3%

Darmstadt - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 38. Riedel C. (C) 20. Vukotic A. 15. Nurnberger F. 18. Forster P. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Muller A. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.	40. Urbig J. (G) 18. Carstensen R. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 19. Lemperle T. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 42. Downs D.
Substitutes
3. Bueno G. 11. Kempe T. 19. Lakenmacher F. 5. Maglica M. 8. Marseiler L. 22. Niemczycki K. (G) 21. Papela M. 13. Thiede M. 29. Vilhelmsson O.	23. Adamyan S. 33. Dietz F. 35. Finkgrafe M. 3. Heintz D. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 29. Thielmann J.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Hornby F. ⚽, Forster P. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Lemperle T. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Hornby F. ⚽, Lidberg I. (A),
41', Lidberg I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lemperle T. 🟨,
54', 3 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽, Hornby F. (A),
61', Hornby F. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
61', Corredor K. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
62', Pauli J. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
62', Carstensen R. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Forster P. ⚽, Marseiler L. (A),
68', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
68', Lemperle T. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
69', Forster P. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
76', Downs D. ↓, Adamyan S. ↑,
77', Lidberg I. ↓, Vilhelmsson O. ↑,
77', Lopez S. ↓, Thiede M. ↑,
90', Vilhelmsson O. 🟨,
90+2', Kainz F. 🟨,
90+3', Hubers T. 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 1, Vukotic A. ⚽, Nurnberger F. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Köln have a series of home games.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Uth M. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Vilhelmsson O. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Ljubicic D. (Illness)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:17 (average 0.8:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:10 (average 0.3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
Club Friendly
08.10.24	Darmstadt - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
28.09.24	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	3:5 ✺
14.09.24	Darmstadt - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLWT
- 1. FC Köln
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Köln - Bochum	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Köln - Karlsruher	4:4 ✺
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.04.24	Köln - Darmstadt	0:2
01.12.23	Darmstadt - Köln	0:1
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.19	Köln - Darmstadt	1:2
24.11.18	Darmstadt - Köln	0:3
German Bundesliga
28.01.17	Darmstadt - Köln	1:6
27.08.16	Köln - Darmstadt	2:0
23.04.16	Köln - Darmstadt	4:1

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