Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

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	Schalke 04		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.45	3.1	Watch
	2.19	3.67	3.42
	2.44	3.72	2.63	Watch
				Watch
	2.17	3.46	3.15	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.44)	3.58 ↓ (3.72)	3.05 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
42.4%

Draw
26.5%

Darmstadt
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

25.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darmstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	18.7%	25%

Schalke 04 - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 43. Ayhan M. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 17. Gantenbein A. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 33. Becker V. 14. Bachmann J. 19. Karaman K. (C) 9. Sylla M.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 6. Pfeiffer P. 20. Vukotic A. 5. Maglica M. 8. Marseiler L. 16. Akiyama H. 23. Richter M. 10. Boetius J-P. 34. Corredor K. 27. Bialek B. 9. Hornby F.
Substitutes
7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 28. Heekeren J. (G) 41. Matriciani H. 27. Porath F. 2. Sanchez F. 35. Wallentowitz M. 8. Younes A. 16. Zalazar M.	26. Bader M. 24. Borner B. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 22. Guler S. 32. Holland F. 3. Klassen L. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M. 28. Will P.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Sylla M. ⚽, El-Faouzi S. (A),
27', Bachmann J. 🟨,
31', Vukotic A. 🟨,
38', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Boetius J-P. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
63', Gantenbein A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
64', Bialek B. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
64', Akiyama H. ↓, Will P. ↑,
64', Bachmann J. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
81', Becker V. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
81', Vukotic A. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
81', Richter M. ↓, Holland F. ↑,
85', Gomis C. ↓, Wallentowitz M. ↑,
90+3', Wallentowitz M. 🟨,
90+5', El-Faouzi S. 🟨,
90+9', Kurucay H. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Schalke has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Antwi-Adjei C. (Calf Injury) Becker T. (Knee Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Knock) Lasme B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Darmstadt: Lopez S. (Red Card) Nurnberger F. (Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 2.3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
17.10.25	Hannover - Schalke 04	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.25	Bohemians Dublin - Schalke 04	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.25	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Darmstadt - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
23.02.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:0
20.09.24	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	3:5
17.04.22	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:5
07.11.21	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	2:4
German Bundesliga
16.04.17	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	2:1
27.11.16	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	3:1
30.01.16	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	0:2

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