Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 2

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Darmstadt		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	2.1	Watch
				Watch
	3.95	3.45	1.97
	3.7	3.3	2.11
	3.93	3.36	2.13
	3.6	3.25	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.44	2.01	Watch
	3.85	3.5	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.65)	3.37 ↓ (3.47)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
25.2%

Draw
28.2%

Union Berlin
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

27.3%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	6.5%	90.3%

Darmstadt - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: Union Berlin will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 38. Riedel C. 14. Klarer C. 5. Maglica M. 7. Manu B. M. 6. Mehlem M. 32. Holland F. (C) 15. Nurnberger F. 28. Franjic B. 18. Honsak M. 24. Pfeiffer L.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. (C) 31. Knoche R. 4. Leite D. 18. Juranovic J. 33. Kral A. 6. Gosens R. 20. Laidouni A. 7. Aaronson B. 17. Behrens K. 11. Fofana D. D.
Substitutes
26. Bader M. 13. Behrens M. (G) 23. Gjasula K. 9. Hornby F. 3. Isherwood T. 11. Kempe T. 8. Schnellhardt F. 10. Stojilkovic F. 29. Vilhelmsson O.	27. Becker S. 16. Hollerbach B. 3. Jaeckel P. 36. Kemlein A. 26. Roussillon J. 37. Schwolow A. (G) 45. Siebatcheu J. 28. Trimmel C. 10. Volland K.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Fischer U.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 3.

Darmstadt has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Union Berlin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Darmstadt have a series of guest games.

In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
20.08.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Homburg - Darmstadt	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.23	Liverpool - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Sandhausen - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Gießen - Darmstadt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
20.08.23	Union Berlin - Mainz	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
13.08.23	Astoria Walldorf - Union Berlin	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Union Berlin - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
29.07.23	Udinese - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
28.07.23	Union Berlin - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
05.05.19	Darmstadt - Union Berlin	2:1
01.12.18	Union Berlin - Darmstadt	3:1
28.04.18	Darmstadt - Union Berlin	3:1
24.11.17	Union Berlin - Darmstadt	3:3
13.03.15	Darmstadt - Union Berlin	5:0
27.09.14	Union Berlin - Darmstadt	1:1

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