Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
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Israel	Sport 4
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Portugal	DAZN 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-america	DGO Latin America
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Turkey	D Smart GO, Sifir, S Sport+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Excelsior Maassluis		Ajax

	1	X	2
	13	8.5	1.11	Watch
	16.5	8.8	1.11
	13.03	8.27	1.13
	15.83	8.17	1.12	Watch
	15	8	1.14
	14.5	7.8	1.13	Watch
	14	7.5	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.55 ↓ (22)	8.15 ↑ (7.86)	1.13 ↑ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
6.4%

Draw
11.4%

Ajax
82.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.2%

11.8%

84%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Excelsior Maassluis - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Excelsior Maassluis will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Ajax (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 24. Lopes Varela D. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 4. Heuvelman D. 2. Tureaij C. 30. Hamd Y. 8. Udenhout J. 6. van Eerden J. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B. 27. Plank D.	22. Pasveer R. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 30. Bouwman A. 15. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 24. Mokio J. 6. Regeer Y. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 43. Bounida R. 19. Konadu D. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
10. Bakour M. 26. Bronder S. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 20. Houwaart M. 37. Hulshoff D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 33. Nikolic V. 12. Riley B. 17. Slagveer D. 28. Smit D. (G) 11. Tavares Q. 19. van der Velden S.	41. Alders G. 9. Dolberg K. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 4. Itakura K. 1. Jaros V. (G) 7. Moro R. 66. Nash P. 68. Ouazane A. 2. Rosa L. 48. Steur S. 21. van den Boomen B.
Coaches
Roorda G.	Grim F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
12', 0 - 1, Wijndal O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Gaaei A. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
24', 0 - 3, Konadu D. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
25', van Eerden J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 4, Mokio J. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Wennekers B. ↓, Tavares Q. ↑,
46', Heuvelman D. ↓, Bakour M. ↑,
46', Wijndal O. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
46', Klaassen D. ↓, van den Boomen B. ↑,
46', Godts M. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
48', 0 - 5, Mokio J. ⚽, Bounida R. (A),
53', 1 - 5, Plank D. ⚽, Verbont J. (A),
56', 1 - 6, Bounida R. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
60', 2 - 6, Verbont J. ⚽, Bakour M. (A),
62', Gaaei A. 🟨,
64', Regeer Y. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
65', 2 - 7, Moro R. ⚽, Mokio J. (A),
70', Plank D. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
70', Verbont J. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
72', Konadu D. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
77', Hamd Y. 🟨,
86', Lopes Varela D. ↓, Riley B. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Excelsior Maassluis have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ajax is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Excelsior Maassluis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ajax is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
13.12.25	Excelsior Maassluis - BVV Barendrecht	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Jong Almere City - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Amsterdamsche FC	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kozakken Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - IJsselmeervogels	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTTL
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax	2:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:3 ✺
02.12.25	Ajax - Groningen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Ajax - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
20.01.22	Ajax - Excelsior Maassluis	9:0

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