Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)


	Jong Almere City		Excelsior Maassluis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	4.15	3.65
	1.73	4.42	3.53
	1.74	4.61	3.59	Watch
	1.67	4.25	3.76
	1.73	4.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)	4.33 ↓ (4.51)	3.59 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Almere City
53.4%

Draw
21.1%

Excelsior Maassluis
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

20.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

19.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Jong Almere City - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Almere City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. van der Wilt J. (G) 33. van Gom J. 34. Teunissen S. 35. Kuiper J. 45. Pennock B. 19. de Nijs O. 36. Lever S. (C) 38. Lenssen L. 21. el Dahri H. 37. Goghli I. 40. Dors M.	16. El Fakiri K. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 6. van Eerden J. 24. Lopes Varela D. 18. de Bruijn R. 27. Plank D. 8. Udenhout J. 14. Verbont J. 10. Bakour M. 30. Hamd Y.
Substitutes
44. Abdulmahmoud S. 49. Bais A. 31. Mateyo M. (G) 48. Mojanaga T. 39. Nsingi J. 55. Woudstra X. 53. Zijsling J.	26. Bronder S. 4. Heuvelman D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 17. Slagveer D. 11. Tavares Q. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 9. Wennekers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Lopes Varela D. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Goghli I. ⚽,
45', el Dahri H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, de Bruijn R. ⚽,
63', Bakour M. 🟨,
64', Bakour M. ↓, Tavares Q. ↑,
69', Plank D. 🟨,
70', de Nijs O. ↓, Bais A. ↑,
72', Plank D. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
72', Verbont J. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
75', van Gom J. 🟨,
75', Tureaij C. 🟨,
76', Lopes Varela D. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
80', el Dahri H. ↓, Zijsling J. ↑,
80', van Gom J. ↓, Woudstra X. ↑,
89', Teunissen S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Jong Almere City is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jong Almere City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Almere City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Almere City
Dutch Tweede Divisie
29.11.25	RKAV Volendam - Jong Almere City	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Jong Almere City - HSV Hoek	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Jong Almere City	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Jong Almere City - Spakenburg	4:2 ✺
25.10.25	Koninklijke HFC - Jong Almere City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWL
- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
29.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Amsterdamsche FC	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kozakken Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - IJsselmeervogels	0:4 ✺
08.11.25	Quick Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Excelsior	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
15.03.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Almere City	0:2
12.10.24	Jong Almere City - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1
27.01.24	Jong Almere City - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1
02.09.23	Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Almere City	5:3
13.04.19	Jong Almere City - Excelsior Maassluis	1:3
24.11.18	Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Almere City	3:1

Jong Almere City - Excelsior Maassluis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide