Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)


	Excelsior Maassluis		BVV Barendrecht

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.35	2.52
	2.48	3.64	2.46
	2.46	3.78	2.51	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.38	3.38	2.53	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.31)	3.49 ↓ (3.68)	2.48 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
37.4%

Draw
26%

BVV Barendrecht
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

24.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Excelsior Maassluis - BVV Barendrecht Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 8. Udenhout J. 24. Lopes Varela D. 30. Hamd Y. 27. Plank D. 6. van Eerden J. 14. Verbont Y. 9. Wennekers B. 11. Tavares Q.	1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 7. Monster D. (C) 12. Schop C. 5. Jouhri N. 10. Fortes E. 6. Bayram T. 8. Jongman J. 21. Mrowicki O. 17. Vugts B. 11. Serghini A.
Substitutes
10. Bakour M. 26. Bronder S. 4. Heuvelman D. 20. Houwaart M. 21. Nagtegaal N. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G)	30. Kooiman M. (G) 26. Lansman N. 24. Ouali R. 25. Rimon R. 27. Strick G. 9. van der Heiden D. 14. Versluis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Tavares Q. ⚽, Verbont Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fortes E. ↓, Ouali R. ↑,
60', Vugts B. ↓, Versluis R. ↑,
66', Verbont Y. ↓, Bakour M. ↑,
73', Wennekers B. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
77', Schop C. ↓, van der Heiden D. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Tavares Q. ⚽,
85', Lopes Varela D. ↓, Heuvelman D. ↑,
85', Plank D. ↓, Houwaart M. ↑,
85', Tavares Q. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 2.

Excelsior Maassluis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barendrecht is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

BVV Barendrecht - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
06.12.25	Jong Almere City - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Amsterdamsche FC	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kozakken Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - IJsselmeervogels	0:4 ✺
08.11.25	Quick Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTTLL
- BVV Barendrecht
Dutch Tweede Divisie
06.12.25	BVV Barendrecht - RKAV Volendam	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	HSV Hoek - BVV Barendrecht	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	BVV Barendrecht - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Spakenburg - BVV Barendrecht	8:0 ✺
08.11.25	BVV Barendrecht - Koninklijke HFC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.01.25	BVV Barendrecht - Excelsior Maassluis	2:0
24.08.24	Excelsior Maassluis - BVV Barendrecht	1:2
Club Friendly
11.08.20	BVV Barendrecht - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1
Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.05.19	BVV Barendrecht - Excelsior Maassluis	0:4
22.09.18	Excelsior Maassluis - BVV Barendrecht	3:0
10.03.18	Excelsior Maassluis - BVV Barendrecht	0:2
04.11.17	BVV Barendrecht - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1

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