Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday


	Defence Force		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	1.92	3.17	3.67
	1.95	3.28	3.72
	2	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)	3.22 ↑ (3.21)	3.6 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
46.7%

Draw
28.1%

Dire Dawa City
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Defence Force - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

Defence Force is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dire Dawa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defence Force will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Defence Force won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
27.04.23	Welayta Dicha - Defence Force	1:0 ✺
20.04.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
07.04.23	Arba Minch - Defence Force	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Defence Force - Adama City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
28.04.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	4:1 ✺
22.04.23	Dire Dawa City - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:3 ✺
10.04.23	Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
03.04.23	Dire Dawa City - Legetafo Legedadi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
10.11.22	Dire Dawa City - Defence Force	1:1
23.05.22	Defence Force - Dire Dawa City	0:0
31.01.22	Dire Dawa City - Defence Force	1:0

Defence Force - Dire Dawa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide