Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 17

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Defensa y Justicia		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.45	2.9	3.1
	2.55	2.92	3.05	Watch
	2.63	2.92	3.18
	2.58	2.9	3.14	Watch
	2.6	2.88	3
	2.61	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.92	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)	2.9 ↓ (3.07)	3.09 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
36.8%

Draw
32.6%

Rosario Central
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

31%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bologna E. (G) 38. Rubio T. 28. Aguilera E. 6. Ferreira L. 3. Soto A. 5. Gutierrez K. (C) 35. Schamine B. 17. Alanis G. 16. Molinas A. 27. Herrera L. 9. Miritello J. B.	1. Broun J. (C) 32. Coronel E. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 45. Ortiz K. 5. Ibarra F. 22. Giaccone L. 7. Lovera M. 10. Malcorra I. 25. Copetti E.
Substitutes
14. Cannavo E. 36. Echevarria F. 4. Ferreyra T. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 18. Galvan I. 24. Gonzalez M. 8. Lopez J. 30. Lopez K. 7. Osorio A. 33. Palavecino N. 25. Perez C. 37. Ramirez M.	6. Barbieri M. 34. Beltran S. 17. Cardozo F. 27. Duarte G. 24. Gimenez J. 8. Gomez J. 4. Martinez D. 16. Martinez M. 50. Ponce T. 9. Ruben M. 23. Solari A. 20. Werner A. (G)
Coaches
de Muner P.	Lequi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Molinas A. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Miritello J. B. ⚽, Soto A. (A),
30', Schamine B. 🟨,
33', Copetti E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Lovera M. ↓, Ruben M. ↑,
54', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
55', Coronel E. 🟨,
58', Ruben M. 🟨,
67', Ortiz K. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
70', Alanis G. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
70', Rubio T. ↓, Cannavo E. ↑,
72', Schamine B. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Quintana C. ⚽, Malcorra I. (A),
77', Soto A. 🟨,
83', Miritello J. B. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
86', Molinas A. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
86', Copetti E. ↓, Ponce T. ↑,
87', Cannavo E. 🟨,
90+1', Herrera L. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 27 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 2.

Defensa y Justicia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rosario is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Barbona D. (Injury) Togni G. (Injury)

There will not play in Rosario: Bravo A. (Injury) Komar J. (Injury) Modica A. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.09.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Defensa y Justicia - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Defensa y Justicia - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Instituto Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.10.24	Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Platense - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Rosario Central - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	2:1
10.10.22	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:0
05.11.21	Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.01.21	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.20	Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central	3:0
17.09.18	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:1
28.04.18	Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central	3:1

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