Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	ESPN Premium
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Chile	Disney+
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Mexico	Disney+
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North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.5	Watch
	2.08	3	3.95	Watch
	1.95	3.31	4.52
	1.96	3.28	4.24	Watch
	1.99	3.3	4.44	Watch
	2.08	3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)	3.2 ↓ (3.42)	4.27 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
47.8%

Draw
29.8%

Rosario Central
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

29.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Boca Juniors - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 42. Blondel L. 40. Di Lollo L. 6. Rojo M. 23. Blanco L. 21. Herrera A. 43. Delgado M. 22. Zenon K. 8. Carlos Palacios 9. Gimenez M. 10. Cavani E. (C)	1. Broun J. (C) 24. Gimenez J. 6. Komar J. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 31. Navarro F. 5. Ibarra F. 27. Duarte G. 10. Malcorra I. 99. Campaz J. 9. Copetti E.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 24. Barinaga J. 5. Battaglia R. 12. Brey L. (G) 32. Costa A. 19. Martegani A. 34. Mendia M. 16. Miguel Merentiel 53. Ruiz J. 3. Saracchi M. 7. Zeballos E.	19. Bravo A. 32. Coronel E. 33. Elordi J. M. 11. Ferreira S. 22. Giaccone L. 8. Gomez J. 21. Lopez S. 7. Lovera M. 30. O'Connor T. 17. Segovia S. 23. Solari A. 20. Werner A. (G)
Coaches
Gago F.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
11', Blondel L. 🟨,
41', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
45+1', Campaz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Gimenez J. ↓, Coronel E. ↑,
55', Duarte G. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
62', Carlos Palacios ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
71', Navarro F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
72', Sandez A. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
72', Copetti E. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
72', Herrera A. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
77', Broun J. 🟨,
85', Malcorra I. 🟨,
88', Cavani E. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 3.

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rosario is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Injury) Figal J. (Injury) Lema C. (Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rosario: Modica A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rosario: Mallo Blanco F. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:19 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Copa Libertadores
25.02.25	Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima	2:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.25	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.25	Alianza Lima - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.02.25	Banfield - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	Boca Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.25	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Deportivo Riestra - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Rosario Central - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	San Martín de San Juan - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.08.24	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	2:1
23.04.23	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	2:2
17.08.22	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.02.22	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.21	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	1:2
08.12.19	Rosario Central - Boca Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Super Cup
02.05.19	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	1:0 penalties

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