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Current Win Probability
Instituto Córdoba 46.3%
Draw 30%
Defensa y Justicia 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
31.8%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
32.5%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Instituto Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Instituto Córdoba will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Roffo M. (G) 30. Galvan J. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 44. Cerato G. 55. Abregu G. 19. Lodico G. A. 3. Sosa D. 10. Luna A. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 7. Guerra N.
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 29. Fernandez D. 6. Amor E. 21. Martinez D. (C) 33. Souto L. 15. Sosa S. 10. Molinas A. 27. Pereyra E. 16. Portillo A. 24. Gutierrez J. 17. Hausch A.
Substitutes
8. Acevedo J. 2. De La Fuente H. 11. Fonseca M. 15. Gallardo M. 21. Lazaro J. 22. Massaccesi A. 61. Medina J. 13. Mendez J. 70. Ordonez G. 27. Rossi I. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G) 17. Tissera M.
23. Aguiar M. 25. Altamira F. 36. Amade L. (G) 11. Banega E. 19. Barbona D. 26. Caceres D. 30. Fernandez D. 9. Gonzalez L. 55. Lopez J. 2. Lucero S. 32. Roselli N. 18. Toloza S.
Coaches
Flores D.
Soso M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Guerra N. ⚽, Galvan J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Portillo A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
46', Fernandez D. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
46', Pereyra E. ↓, Toloza S. ↑,
56', Guerra N. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
65', Galvan J. 🟨,
66', Molinas A. 🟨,
74', Hausch A. ↓, Barbona D. ↑,
77', Lodico G. A. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
78', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
78', Luna A. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Tissera M. ⚽, Abregu G. (A),
90+3', Sosa S. 🟨,
90+4', Abregu G. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 2.
In recent matches, Instituto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Defensa y Justicia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of home games.
In this match, Instituto is the team to beat.
There will not play in Instituto: Albarracin L.
(Muscle Injury)
Bravo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Erquiaga I.
(Thigh Injury)
Romero J.
(Injury)
Suarez F.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Osorio A.
(Muscle Injury)
Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Instituto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).