Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Talleres de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.7	2.85	Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.75	Watch
	3.09	2.83	2.85
	3.11	2.76	2.72	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.7
	2.93	2.78	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.57)	2.75 ↓ (2.97)	2.8 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
31.8%

Draw
34.4%

Talleres de Córdoba
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

32.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Talleres de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	50%	28.6%

Defensa y Justicia - Talleres de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Talleres will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 29. Fernandez D. 6. Amor E. 21. Martinez D. (C) 16. Portillo A. 15. Sosa S. 10. Molinas A. 26. Caceres D. 24. Gutierrez J. 19. Barbona D. 17. Hausch A.	22. Herrera G. (C) 20. Schott A. 4. Catalan M. 44. Fernandez S. 3. Maidana A. 26. Caceres M. 5. Galarza M. A. 7. Valoyes D. 18. Cristaldo F. 37. Rick 77. Martinez R.
Substitutes
23. Aguiar M. 25. Altamira F. 36. Amade L. (G) 11. Banega E. 31. Coria A. 30. Fernandez D. 55. Lopez J. 2. Lucero S. 27. Pereyra E. 8. Perez C. 32. Roselli N. 18. Toloza S.	23. Baez Corradi G. 1. Barbi S. (G) 10. Barticciotto B. 49. Davila V. 11. Depietri V. 14. Guth R. 8. Ortegoza U. 19. Palomino J. L. 13. Sforza J. 28. Vigo A.
Coaches
Soso M.	Tevez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Maidana A. ⚽,
43', Catalan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Caceres D. ↓, Pereyra E. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Maidana A. ⚽, Cristaldo F. (A),
64', Amor E. ↓, Banega E. ↑,
64', Hausch A. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
68', Rick ↓, Depietri V. ↑,
68', Caceres M. ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
76', Martinez R. ↓, Davila V. ↑,
76', Valoyes D. ↓, Ortegoza U. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Portillo A. ⚽,
80', Barbona D. ↓, Coria A. ↑,
80', Martinez D. ↓, Aguiar M. ↑,
88', Cristaldo F. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
88', Ortegoza U. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.

Defensa y Justicia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Talleres has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Talleres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Defensa y Justicia - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.04.26	Defensa y Justicia - Chaco For Ever	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	2:5 ✺
12.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWT
- Talleres de Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.07.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia	1:1
11.03.23	Defensa y Justicia - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1
11.09.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.04.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Defensa y Justicia	1:5
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.10.21	Defensa y Justicia - Talleres de Córdoba	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.01.20	Defensa y Justicia - Talleres de Córdoba	4:1

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