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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 40%
Draw 33.5%
Brown de Adrogué 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
31.4%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
30.7%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 10. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 8. Montani L. 3. Olivera L. 7. Ortigoza M. 5. Redondo K. 11. Sombra A. 6. Suarez F.
1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 9. Baez B. 4. Bogado J. 6. Cardozo D. 8. Castano A. 3. Cesare L. 7. Galeano V. 11. Guerrero B. 5. Robles E. 10. Sproat M. (C)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Cesare L. 🟨,
27', D'Andrea F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cesare L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Patroni S. ⚽,
63', Galeano V. ↓, Cerulo M. ↑,
68', Sombra A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
68', D'Andrea F. ↓, Montani L. ↑,
70', Castano A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
70', Baigorria A. 🟨,
80', Guerrero B. ↓, Galvan L. ↑,
80', Robles E. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,
81', Patroni S. ↓, Girard T. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20).
Defensores Unidos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Brown de Adrogué has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Defensores Unidos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.