The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 25.9%
Draw 32.8%
Villa Dálmine 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
31.7%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
32.1%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.
Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa Dálmine's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Dálmine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Defensores Unidos - Villa Dálmine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 10. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 7. Ortigoza M. 11. Patroni S. 5. Redondo K. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello J.
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Amicone A. 9. Brandan L. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 8. Garzino F. 3. Martinez D. 10. Prim S. 7. Resquin G. 5. Solis M. 11. Torres G.
Substitutes
17. Baigorria A. 19. D'Andrea F. 18. Girard T. 20. Herrera S. 13. Iribarne S. 14. Lorenzo A. 15. Montani L. 12. Salerno F. (G) 16. Sombra A.
14. Britos M. 16. Carlucci V. 12. Guerrero A. (G) 13. Karnincic B. 18. Morales M. 15. Nizzo M. 19. Oro P. 17. Ramon E. 20. Schultz E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Prim S. (Penalty Awarded),
13', Patroni S. 🟨,
15', Martinez D. 🟨,
17', Gimenez M. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 🟨,
29', Martinez D. 🟨,
35', Torres G. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
37', Lopez M. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Redondo K. ↓, Montani L. ↑,
46', Lopez M. ↓, Baigorria A. ↑,
46', Patroni S. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
56', Rojas J. 🟨,
60', 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Tello J. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
76', Prim S. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
76', Resquin G. ↓, Carlucci V. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Sombra A. ⚽,
80', Brandan L. 🟨,
85', Brandan L. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
85', Garzino F. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
Preview
Federation decision.
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Defensores Unidos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villa Dálmine is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Villa Dálmine could have a small edge in this match.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.