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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 26.4%
Draw 31.7%
Colón 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
30.2%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
29.5%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Defensores Unidos - Colón Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Basualdo N. 2. Laumann F. 6. Rassol F. 3. Arguello J. 7. Ferreyra T. 5. Caballo M. 10. Trinidad E. 8. Sanchez S. 9. Aguirre D. E. 11. Carboni B.
1. Diaz M. (G) 4. Garrido O. 2. Thaller N. 6. Negro B. 3. Castet F. 8. Jourdan F. 5. Forneris A. 10. Lago I. 7. Talpone N. 9. Gigliotti E. 11. Gallay T.
Substitutes
19. Ceratto L. 16. Ferulano M. 18. Gimenez M. 17. Juarez R. 14. Patroni S. 12. Sanchez A. (G) 13. Tello H. 20. Toledo A. 15. Velez R.
16. Bernardi C. 14. Bettini G. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 17. Ortiz G. 19. Rossi G. 15. Sonora J. 18. Taborda F. 13. Yunis Z.
Coaches
Gigante D.
Pereyra A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Caballo M. 🟨,
40', Sanchez S. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Basualdo N. ↓, Patroni S. ↑,
59', Laumann F. 🟨,
60', Gigliotti E. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
60', Jourdan F. ↓, Taborda F. ↑,
67', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
79', Carboni B. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
79', Ferreyra T. ↓, Velez R. ↑,
84', Gallay T. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
88', Rossi G. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 1, Bernardi C. ⚽,
Preview
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Colón could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Colón - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.14%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.