The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 25.9%
Draw 33.8%
Mitre 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
35.9%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
35.8%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mitre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mitre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
50%
40%
Defensores Unidos - Mitre Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Mitre will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensores Unidos (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Mitre (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Mitre (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensores Unidos (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Mitre (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Ortiz B. 6. Marchesini F. 3. Rassol F. 11. Olivera L. 7. Ferulano M. 5. Caballo M. 8. Juarez R. 10. Ceratto L. 9. Toledo A.
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Wiechniak F. 2. Moscarelli O. 6. Sanchez M. 3. Valdivia G. 7. Gonzalez R. 8. Kabalin M. 5. Alessandroni J. 11. Rios L. 10. Rosales S. 9. Machado M.
Substitutes
20. Aguirre D. E. 17. Carboni B. 19. Ferreyra T. 18. Gimenez M. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 13. Laumann F. 15. Rocca J. 16. Tello A. 14. Velez R.
20. Bonet J. 15. Gonzalez E. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 16. Lujan S. 14. Manenti F. 18. Martinez E. 13. Melillan F. 17. Ramirez A. 19. Romero N.
Coaches
de la Riva F.
Sciacqua M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ceratto L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Ceratto L. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
59', Caballo M. 🟨,
61', Toledo A. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
61', Juarez R. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Rosales S. ⚽,
71', Rios L. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,
72', Olivera L. ↓, Rocca J. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Kabalin M. ⚽,
81', Kabalin M. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
87', Rosales S. ↓, Melillan F. ↑,
87', Machado M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
87', Valdivia G. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
Defensores Unidos has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mitre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Defensores Unidos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Argentina
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