Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Viola F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Nueva Chicago		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6	Watch
	1.58	3.4	5.75
	1.85	3.3	4.3	Watch
	1.66	3.33	5.86
	1.65	3.35	6.28	Watch
	1.6	3.25	6.5
	1.64	3.36	5.79	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	5.6 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
55.5%

Draw
27.8%

Defensores Unidos
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

27.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nueva Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nueva Chicago will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (C) 4. Cortes F. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Rizzi F. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Montenegro M. 7. Molinas I. A. 10. Cortes B. 9. Rodriguez I. 11. Fernandez G.	1. Aquino M. (C) 4. Arguello J. 2. Ortiz B. 6. Rassol F. 3. Trinidad E. 11. Patroni S. 7. Ferreyra T. 5. Caballo M. 8. Carboni B. 10. Juarez R. 9. Sanchez C.
Substitutes
17. Almaraz A. 15. Arroyo D. 20. Beltramone E. 12. Diaz L. (G) 16. Martinez A. 13. Mendez E. 14. Motroni J. 19. Ortiz M. 18. Vazquez L. I.	20. Aguirre D. E. 13. Alvarez E. 17. Ceratto L. 15. Ferulano M. 18. Gimenez M. 12. Sanchez A. (G) 16. Tello J. 19. Toledo A. 14. Velez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Patroni S. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
24', Sanchez C. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
28', Rassol F. 🟨,
34', Ortiz B. 🟨,
44', Montenegro M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Rizzi F. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
69', Fernandez G. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
69', Molinas I. A. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
71', Ferreyra T. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
72', Cortes B. 🟨,
82', Montenegro M. ↓, Mendez E. ↑,
82', Ortiz M. ↓, Almaraz A. ↑,
84', Arguello J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Nueva Chicago has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Defensores Unidos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Nueva Chicago is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Temperley	0:1 ✺
28.05.25	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLW
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Colón	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Temperley - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Defensores Unidos - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Defensores Unidos - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.24	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	1:2
18.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	3:0
06.08.23	Defensores Unidos - Nueva Chicago	0:0
30.03.23	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	0:0

Upcoming Matches