Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Referee: Lopez R. (Arg)


	Defensores Unidos		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.3	2.75	2.3
	3.15	2.7	2.45
	3.66	2.76	2.45
	3.3	2.75	2.3
	3.48	2.99	2.3
	3.4	2.8	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.62)	2.81 ↓ (2.92)	2.35 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
27.1%

Draw
33.2%

San Martín de Tucumán
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.6%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Martín de Tucumán's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Martín de Tucumán, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Defensores Unidos - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Martin T will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.23	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Defensores Unidos - All Boys	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Almirante Brown - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWLWT
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Guillermo Brown	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Agropecuario Argentino - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
13.03.23	San Telmo - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Temperley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLT

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