Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)


	Defensores Unidos		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.5
	2.95	3	2.35
	3.1	3	2.4
	3.22	2.9	2.57
	3	2.88	2.38
	3.05	3.08	2.47	Watch
	3	3.05	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.22)	2.44 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
30.5%

Draw
31.1%

San Martín de San Juan
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.

San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Martín de San Juan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Martín de San Juan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Defensores Unidos - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). San Martín will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Martín is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Martín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	Defensores Unidos - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Temperley - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.23	San Martín de San Juan - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Agropecuario Argentino - San Martín de San Juan	4:1 ✺
30.04.23	San Martín de San Juan - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	San Telmo - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	San Martín de San Juan - Temperley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW

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