Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	3.3	Watch
	2.45	2.75	3.00
	2.52	2.68	3.1	Watch
	2.65	2.7	3.29
	2.71	2.46	3.39	Watch
	2.5	2.6	3.2
	2.53	2.55	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.52)	2.63 ↓ (2.69)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
36.2%

Draw
35.1%

Colón
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

34.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

34.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Defensores de Belgrano - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Colón will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 7. Aguirre E. (C) 10. Ciccolini L. 4. Gomez B. 9. Gonzalez E. 8. Gutierrez I. 5. Jerez Silva L. 11. Moyano P. 3. Perez A. 2. Perez I. 6. Vaquer N.	1. Budino M. (G) 3. Allende L. 8. Antonio I. 2. Barrios P. 9. Bonansea A. 10. Lago I. 5. Lertora F. 11. Marcioni J. 4. Peinipil M. 6. Rasmussen F. 7. Sarmiento D.
Substitutes
20. Aquilino G. 17. Benitez A. 16. Borsotti N. 18. Garcia D. 14. Magallanes D. 13. Monteagudo J. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 15. Sanchez F. 19. Tcherkaski F.	17. Beltran E. 16. Castet F. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 19. Ibarra C. 14. Ingravidi M. 20. Munoz M. 13. Olmedo S. 15. Toledo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Rasmussen F. ⚽, Lertora F. (A),
17', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
17', Barrios P. 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Barrios P. ⚽,
39', Allende L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Allende L. ↓, Castet F. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Marcioni J. ⚽,
61', Moyano P. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
61', Ciccolini L. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
65', Sarmiento D. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
72', Gutierrez I. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
72', Perez A. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
76', Aguirre E. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
77', Marcioni J. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
77', Bonansea A. ↓, Buosi J. ↑,
88', Lago I. ↓, Ibarra C. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Colón - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.26	San Miguel - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Acassuso - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
18.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
11.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTL
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.06.26	Colón - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Almirante Brown - Colón	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Colón - Mitre	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Colón	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Colón - All Boys	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.09.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Colón	1:0
27.04.25	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1
28.09.24	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0
13.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Colón	1:0

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