The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 45.6%
Draw 31.7%
Independiente Chivilcoy 22.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.8%
31.2%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
31%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo's performance.
Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vizgarra K. (G) 2. Avalos J. 10. Bacas T. 7. Bertacin J. 8. Cartechini J. 5. Duarte K. 6. Gay F. 3. Pezzani F. 4. Ramos M. 11. Roige E. 9. Tuset M.
1. Cordero M. (G) 9. Benitez B. 3. Borgognoni G. 4. Caceres E. 5. D'Annunzio N. 7. Funes F. 8. Hernandez Castro T. J. 11. Retamozo L. 10. Rodriguez L. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Roige E. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', Benitez B. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Ramos M. 🟥,
80', 🟨,
85', D'Annunzio N. 🟥,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Def Belgrano VR has had a series of away games.
Def Belgrano VR is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.4:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Argentina
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Vizgarra K. (G) 
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