Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 12

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.10	4.50
	1.60	3.30	5.40
	1.82	3.05	4.82
	1.89	2.89	5.15	Watch
	1.80	2.90	4.80
	1.80	2.88	5.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 (1.77)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	4.95 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
51.4%

Draw
30.2%

Independiente Chivilcoy
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

29.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

27.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G) 5. Bassi E. 10. Caseres F. 4. Dauria M. 9. Ferreira P. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 8. Gutierrez M. 7. Medina R. 11. Salvaggio M. 6. Zarate A.	1. Cordero M. (G) 9. Benitez B. 3. Borgognoni G. 7. Cisnero L. 5. D'Annunzio N. 8. Hernandez Castro T. J. 4. Mast T. 11. Retamozo L. 10. Rodriguez L. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.
Substitutes
19. Almada L. 18. Fernandez V. 13. Fiol F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 15. Iturrieta J. 14. Robatto V. 16. Samaniego L. 17. Visser B.	13. Acuna L. 20. Aman Campos F. 19. Berrutti B. 12. Burello A. (G) 14. Caceres E. 16. Funes F. 18. Mendoza D. 15. Ramirez U. 17. Sanchez J. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
16', Mast T. 🟨,
18', Benitez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
78', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLT
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Atlético Escobar - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.04.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	3:0
03.08.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1
18.05.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0
16.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0

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