Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.45	5.9
	1.41	3.57	7.23
	1.49	3.80	7.48	Watch
	1.76	2.98	5.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	6.42 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
59.2%

Draw
26.5%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

26.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

26%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G) 7. Almada L. 5. Bassi E. 10. Caseres F. 4. Dauria M. 11. Ferreira P. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 8. Gutierrez M. 9. Marfort S. 6. Zarate A.	1. Vizgarra K. (G) 2. Avalos J. 11. Bacas T. 10. Bertacin J. 6. Broglia M. 8. Cartechini J. 7. Luna E. 3. Pezzani F. 4. Ponce A. 5. Ramos M. 9. Roige E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gutierrez M. ⚽,
16', Bacas T. 🟨,
25', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
35', Pezzani F. 🟥,
37', 2 - 0, Ferreira P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Avalos J. 🟥,
74', 3 - 0, ⚽,
77', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Def Belgrano VR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWW
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1
04.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1

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