Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday


	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.55	2.65
	2.92	2.64	2.71
	3.14	2.49	2.9	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.62
	2.79	2.7	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.57)	2.62 ↓ (2.77)	2.7 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
31.5%

Draw
34.8%

Villa Mitre
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

34.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Aranda B. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Cerica E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Seratto R. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Machado M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Deportivo Rincón	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Deportivo Rincón - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - General San Martín de Formosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWTTT
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.10.24	Villa Mitre - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	El Linqueño - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Camioneros	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Villa Mitre - Germinal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.03.17	Villa Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0

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