Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	El Linqueño		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.58	2.69	2.74
				Watch
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.54	2.85	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.35)	2.81 ↓ (2.95)	2.81 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Linqueño
35.9%

Draw
32%

Villa Mitre
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

33.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Linqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-4%)

El Linqueño - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Cerica E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.09.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - El Linqueño	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Boca Unidos - El Linqueño	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	El Linqueño - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTT
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.09.24	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Camioneros	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Villa Mitre - Germinal	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Villa Mitre - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWT

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