The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Vilelas 44.6%
Draw 29.2%
Boca Unidos 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
31.6%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
31.4%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Vilelas's performance.
Boca Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Defensores de Vilelas - Boca Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma L. (G) 11. Acevedo M. 2. Berlo B. 8. Canete G. 4. Fernandez F. 9. Larrasabal L. 3. Molina J. 10. Niz L. 5. Remotti L. 7. Rios G. (C) 6. Turraca J.
1. Quijano F. (G) 10. Alfano A. 2. Fuyana J. 7. Gomez L. 4. Gonzalez E. 5. Luduena L. 11. Mbombaj G. 9. Mendoza L. 3. Ramirez L. 6. Schweizer A. 8. Villanueva T.
Substitutes
16. Acevedo J. 18. Canario J. 19. Carballo G. 14. Farias F. 12. Ferreyra M. (G) 20. Montenegro R. 13. Navarro L. 17. Ojeda G. 15. Vargas A.
17. Abecasis S. 19. Chavez C. 18. Keko 14. Leani A. 13. Moreyra P. 12. Ojeda L. (G) 16. Pavon S. 15. Piz A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Larrasabal L. ⚽,
15', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mbombaj G. ↓, Pavon S. ↑,
46', Molina J. ↓, Montenegro R. ↑,
46', Acevedo M. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Larrasabal L. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟥,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
Recent form of Def de Vilelas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Boca Unidos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Def de Vilelas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Def de Vilelas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.