Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Resistencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports, LPF Play


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.78	3.05
	2.34	2.65	3.12
	2.54	2.65	3.36	Watch
	2.4	2.63	3.1
	2.38	2.72	3.2
	2.25	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.25)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
38%

Draw
33.2%

Sarmiento de La Banda
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

31.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Gutierrez E. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
89', Palavecino M. A. 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Sarmiento is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sarmiento La Banda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de La Banda - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.35%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTT
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:2 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.03.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1
30.05.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0
30.03.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:3
23.06.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0
27.04.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1

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