Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Resistencia)


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Defensores de Vilelas

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.00	3.90
	1.95	3.15	3.55
	1.83	3.16	4.03
	1.90	3.25	4.23	Watch
	1.85	3.00	4.00
	1.81	3.14	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.12)	3.12 ↑ (3)	4.01 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
48.4%

Draw
29%

Defensores de Vilelas
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de Resistencia's performance.

Defensores de Vilelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acuna D. (G) 5. Alarcon G. 8. Almiron C. 10. Bogado E. 4. Di Buo I. 2. Dominguez F. 3. Franco N. 6. Gnemmi E. 9. Gonzalez H. H. 11. Martinez P. 7. Pared M.	1. Ledesma L. (G) 11. Acevedo M. 2. Berlo B. 8. Canete G. 4. Fernandez F. 9. Larrasabal L. 3. Molina N. 10. Niz L. 5. Remotti L. 7. Rios G. 6. Turraca J.
Substitutes
15. Acevedo N. 16. Barlessi L. 14. Gallardo D. 19. Galvan B. A. 13. Gimenez C. 12. Gonzalez D. (G) 20. Ibanez M. 18. Maidana C. 17. Martinez D.	17. Acevedo J. 19. Carballo G. 12. Ferreyra M. (G) 14. Lallana F. 13. Montenegro I. 20. Montenegro R. 15. Navarro L. 18. Ojeda G. 16. Ruiz Diaz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Gonzalez H. H. ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, Maidana C. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Sarmiento has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Def de Vilelas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sarmiento will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarmiento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de Resistencia - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.06.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Tucuman Central - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - General San Martín de Formosa	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Bartolomé Mitre	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:2

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