Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 22

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Canchingre J. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports 2+, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Delfín		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.00	3.30
	2.08	3	3.5	Watch
	2.14	3.19	3.9
	2.12	3.15	3.65	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.65
	2.09	3.09	3.74	Watch
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.38)	3.09 ↑ (2.85)	3.62 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
44.4%

Draw
30%

Leones del Norte
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

32.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

33.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Delfín - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Delfín (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heras B. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 55. Reyes M. 34. Heredia G. 30. Valverde J. 31. Arce J. 10. Luna D. 9. Ayunta F.	45. Nazareno L. (G) 7. Luque M. 5. Coppo T. 29. Madero P. 32. Aguas A. 34. Portocarrero S. 6. Griffa E. 23. Monserrat N. 27. Caicedo Nestor 8. Velez C. 40. Anangono J. (C)
Substitutes
7. Alvarez A. 51. Banguera C. 39. Caicedo E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 16. Castro L. 77. Hernandez B. 18. Morocho J. 50. Ozaeta T. 99. Tenorio L. 78. Ushina K. 27. Yepez E. 14. Zuniga E.	18. Arellano J. 22. Arroyo J. (G) 55. Borja R. 13. Cabeza J. 50. Caicedo M. 33. Chacon A. 16. De La Cruz M. 14. Folleco A. 70. Pazmino D. 19. Pepinos E. 99. Solano C. 3. Vargas F.
Coaches
Leon J.	Cordoba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Valverde J. 🟨,
45+1', Luque M. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Caicedo Nestor ↓, Pazmino D. ↑,
46', Velez C. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
46', Reyes M. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
46', Arce J. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
46', Heredia G. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
59', Luna D. ↓, Ozaeta T. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Pazmino D. ⚽, Pepinos E. (A),
79', Portocarrero S. ↓, De La Cruz M. ↑,
84', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
90+1', Griffa E. ↓, Folleco A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In recent matches, Delfín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leones del Norte is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Delfín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Delfín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.07.26	Libertad Loja - Delfín	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Manta - Delfín	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Guayaquil City - Delfín	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Delfín - Emelec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLT
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.07.26	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
10.07.26	Leones del Norte - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.26	Leones del Norte - Delfín	1:0

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