Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 19

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leones del Norte		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.82	3.4	Watch
	2.10	2.75	3.40
	2.28	2.78	3.4	Watch
	2.37	2.84	3.76
	2.42	2.66	3.64	Watch
	2.3	2.65	3.65
	2.29	2.9	3.46	Watch
	2.26	2.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.48)	2.77 ↓ (2.95)	3.51 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
40.5%

Draw
33.3%

Deportivo Cuenca
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cuenca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Leones del Norte - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leones del Norte: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leones del Norte (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Leones del Norte (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Nazareno L. (G) 4. Arroyo R. 23. Monserrat N. 2. Moran J. 16. De La Cruz M. 5. Coppo T. 6. Griffa E. 11. Caramuto M. 70. Pazmino D. 7. Luque M. 40. Anangono J. (C)	1. Ferrero F. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 28. Boolsen P. 3. Nardelli G. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 14. Chacon J. 8. Vega E. 19. Diaz M. 43. Ordonez J. 29. Klimowicz M.
Substitutes
32. Aguas A. 22. Arroyo J. (G) 55. Borja R. 13. Cabeza J. 50. Caicedo M. 27. Caicedo Nestor 14. Folleco A. 19. Pepinos E. 34. Portocarrero S. 99. Solano C. 3. Vargas F. 8. Velez C.	37. Arboleda C. 23. Guevara E. 30. Maccari M. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 6. Postel S. 11. Rivero G.
Coaches
Cordoba M.	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Klimowicz M. ⚽, Mancinelli L. (A),
19', Coppo T. 🟨,
22', Klimowicz M. 🟨,
30', Boolsen P. 🟥,
32', Moran J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Anangono J. ⚽, Luque M. (A),
42', Diaz M. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Coppo T. ↓, Velez C. ↑,
63', Klimowicz M. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
63', Mancinelli L. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
68', Ordonez J. ↓, Arboleda C. ↑,
71', Arroyo R. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
71', De La Cruz M. ↓, Caicedo M. ↑,
82', Luque M. ↓, Aguas A. ↑,
90', Pazmino D. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

Leones del Norte is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Cuenca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.07.26	Leones del Norte - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte	1:3 ✺
01.06.26	Leones del Norte - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.05.26	Huaquillas - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWTWL
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
04.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.06.26	La Unión - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Santos - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Leones del Norte	1:1

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