Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Libertad Loja		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.10	2.85	Watch
	2.30	3.00	2.75
	2.25	3.10	3.25	Watch
	2.36	3.15	2.80
	2.47	3.06	2.95	Watch
	2.35	2.95	2.80
	2.46	3.13	2.92	Watch
	2.39	3.00	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.39)	3.06 ↓ (3.08)	2.9 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Loja
38.5%

Draw
29.9%

Leones del Norte
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Libertad has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Libertad against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.09.26	Emelec - Libertad Loja	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja	0:1 ✺
03.09.26	Libertad Loja - Emelec	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	SD Aucas - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWTL
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.09.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Leones del Norte - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Mushuc Runa - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
03.09.26	Leones del Norte - Orense	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Emelec - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.07.26	Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte	1:3
28.02.26	Leones del Norte - Libertad Loja	1:1

Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide