Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3d 4h 📅 Remind Me


	Emelec		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4	Watch
	1.98	3.10	3.30
	2.05	3	3.45
	1.97	3.34	3.9
	1.98	3.27	3.84	Watch
	1.93	3.2	3.8
	1.97	3.27	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.01)	3.2 ↓ (3.23)	3.74 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
46.7%

Draw
28.8%

Leones del Norte
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

28%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Emelec - Leones del Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Emelec is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Emelec has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Emelec against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.10.26	Emelec - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
18.10.26	Leones del Norte - Emelec	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Guayaquil City - Emelec	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Emelec - Libertad Loja	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Macará - Emelec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.10.26	Leones del Norte - Libertad Loja	4:1 ✺
18.10.26	Leones del Norte - Emelec	1:3 ✺
09.10.26	Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Leones del Norte - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.10.26	Leones del Norte - Emelec	1:3
30.08.26	Emelec - Leones del Norte	2:1
03.05.26	Leones del Norte - Emelec	2:0
Ecuadorian Copa
08.10.25	Leones del Norte - Emelec	0:1 penalties

Emelec - Leones del Norte