Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	DAZN
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1
World	OneFootball TV


	Cruzeiro		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.33
	1.88	3.00	3.90
	1.92	3.2	3.95	Watch
	1.97	3.23	4.61
	1.93	3.23	4.46	Watch
	1.91	3.15	4.5
	1.94	3.2	4.43
	1.93	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.96)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	4.29 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
48.7%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético Mineiro
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Otavio Costa (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 25. Villalba L. 29. Romero L. (C) 8. Gerson 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 20. Wesley 19. Kaio Jorge	22. Everson (C) 21. Franco A. 4. Ruan Tressoldi 14. Vitor Hugo 6. Lodi R. 8. Maycon 15. Castano K. 28. Cuello 7. Fred 11. Bernard 9. Cassierra M.
Substitutes
9. Bruno Rodrigues 1. Cassio (G) 67. Costa J. 43. Joao Marcelo 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 7. Matheus Henrique 97. Rodriguez L. 27. Rojas G. 22. Villarreal N. 12. William Furtado 5. Ze Lucas	5. Alexsander 18. Borbas T. 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 27. Minda A. 2. Natanael 36. Pascini K. 25. Perez T. 23. Preciado A. 19. Reinier 40. Vitao
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Vitao ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
46', Franco A. 🟨,
54', Cuello 🟨,
55', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Arroyo K. ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
70', 1 - 1, Lodi R. ⚽, Cuello (A),
73', Maycon ↓, Natanael ↑,
73', Bernard ↓, Minda A. ↑,
73', Fagner ↓, William Furtado ↑,
73', Wesley ↓, Costa J. ↑,
87', Kaio Jorge ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
87', Gerson ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
87', Fred ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
87', Cassierra M. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
90+1', Arroyo K. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
90+3', Cuello ↓, Preciado A. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Gabriel Pec (Broken Leg) Sinisterra L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Duarte L. (Hamstring Injury) Gustavo Scarpa (Muscle Injury) Indio (Knee Injury) Lyanco (Injury) Patrick Silva (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético MG: Igor Gomes (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cruzeiro - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
22.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Cruzeiro - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWTW
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
22.08.26	Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Remo - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:3
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.03.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
25.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	1:1
Copa do Brasil
11.09.25	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	2:0
27.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:0

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