Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 5

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CRB Maceio		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.75
	1.65	3.3	4.7
	1.69	3.16	5.61
	1.67	3.3	4.8
	1.72	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.94)	3.36 ↑ (2.9)	4.84 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
54.1%

Draw
27.1%

Santa Cruz Recife
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

31.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

30.7%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CRB Maceio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

CRB Maceio - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches CRB won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CRB is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches CRB won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.23	CRB Maceio - Ceará	1:1 ✺
14.02.23	Campinense - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
09.02.23	CRB Maceio - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Náutico Capibaribe - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
31.01.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWTW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.02.23	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Petrolina - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Maguary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.01.20	CRB Maceio - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0
06.04.19	Santa Cruz Recife - CRB Maceio	2:1 penalties
10.03.18	CRB Maceio - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
20.02.18	Santa Cruz Recife - CRB Maceio	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
26.08.17	Santa Cruz Recife - CRB Maceio	1:2
23.05.17	CRB Maceio - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0
06.10.15	CRB Maceio - Santa Cruz Recife	3:2

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