Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday


	Democrata SL		Audax Rio

	1	X	2
	1.77	3	4.4
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.82	2.98	4.49
	2	3.02	3.88	Watch
	1.73	3	4.5
	1.8	3.1	4.58
	1.85	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	3.01 ↑ (3)	4.41 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata SL
49.4%

Draw
30%

Audax Rio
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

30.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata SL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata SL than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Democrata SL - Audax Rio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 2 - 2, ⚽,
56', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 8).

Democrata SL has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Audax Rio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audax Rio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Democrata SL is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Democrata SL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Sete Lagoas
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Ipatinga - Democrata SL	2:0 ✺
01.07.24	Democrata SL - Serra	1:2 ✺
25.06.24	Noroeste - Democrata SL	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
22.06.24	Democrata SL - Valeriodoce	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
19.06.24	Democrata SL - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLT
- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
10.07.24	Araruama - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.24	Audax Rio - Itabuna	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.07.24	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.24	Audax Rio - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
26.06.24	Artsul - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.05.24	Audax Rio - Democrata SL	0:1

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