Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Denbigh Town		Flint Town United

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.33	1.57
	4.09	4.3	1.58
	4.1	4.3	1.59
	4.34	4.36	1.61
	4.3	4.3	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.72)	4.32 ↓ (4.58)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
21.5%

Draw
21.1%

Flint Town United
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

20.6%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Reeves E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, Owen J. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Harrison D. (Own goal),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Recent matches Denbigh Town is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flint Town is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Denbigh Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Flint Town have a series of guest games.

In this match Flint Town is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Denbigh Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Denbigh Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
06.04.24	Llanidloes Town - Denbigh Town	0:7 ✺
23.03.24	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	4:1 ✺
19.03.24	Denbigh Town - Gresford Athletic	2:5 ✺
16.03.24	Holywell Town - Denbigh Town	3:0 ✺
08.03.24	Denbigh Town - Chirk AAA	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLW
- Flint Town United
Welsh Cymru North
13.04.24	Llanidloes Town - Flint Town United	0:3 ✺
06.04.24	Prestatyn Town - Flint Town United	0:4 ✺
16.03.24	Flint Town United - Ruthin Town	7:0 ✺
08.03.24	Gresford Athletic - Flint Town United	2:4 ✺
02.03.24	Caersws - Flint Town United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
14.10.23	Denbigh Town - Flint Town United	0:3
Welsh Cymru Alliance
29.12.18	Flint Town United - Denbigh Town	1:1

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