Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Dender EH		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.48	Watch
	5.75	4.6	1.49	Watch
	5.78	4.88	1.51
	5.58	4.86	1.5	Watch
	5	4.4	1.5
	5.88	4.61	1.52	Watch
	5.66	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↓ (7.2)	4.62 ↓ (4.85)	1.5 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dender EH
16.7%

Draw
20.4%

Club Brugge
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

19.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

20%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Dender EH - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Brugge will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 2 - 25%). Brugge (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Dender EH (5.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Brugge (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dietsch G. (G) 70. Sambu M. 5. Marijnissen L. 18. Rodes N. 7. Goncalves B. 88. Ferraro F. 24. Viltard M. 17. Mbamba N. 16. Kvet R. 77. Nsimba B. (C) 9. Toshevski D.	16. van den Heuvel D. (G) 41. Siquet H. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 25. Stankovic A. 15. Onyedika R. 9. Forbs C. 20. Vanaken H. 8. Tzolis C. 7. Tresoldi N.
Substitutes
23. Acquah D. 90. Berte M. 21. Cools K. 44. De Fougerolles L. 1. Fortin L. (G) 20. Hrncar D. 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 19. Kadiri J. A. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N.	84. Campbell S. 71. De Corte A. (G) 67. Diakhon M. 87. Furo K. 14. Meijer B. 64. Sabbe K. 58. Spileers J. 17. Vermant R. 10. Vetlesen H.
Coaches
Milkon H.	Leko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Nsimba B. ⚽, Ferraro F. (A),
33', Seys J. ↓, Meijer B. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 1, Tzolis C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 1 - 2, Tzolis C. ⚽,
60', Tresoldi N. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
62', Rodes N. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
62', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Vermant R. ⚽, Stankovic A. (A),
73', Nsimba B. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
73', 1 - 4, Vermant R. ⚽, Siquet H. (A),
78', Siquet H. ↓, Sabbe K. ↑,
78', Forbs C. ↓, Campbell S. ↑,
78', Onyedika R. ↓, Vetlesen H. ↑,
82', Mbamba N. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
82', Goncalves B. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 5, Stankovic A. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Dender EH is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brugge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brugge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brugge is the team to beat.

There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S. (Muscle Injury) Fredrick B. (Inactive) Verrips M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L. (Muscle Injury) Jackers N. (Broken rib) Reis L. (Shoulder Injury) Vermant R. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Oratmangoen R. (Inactive)

We predict that Dender EH will win today's game, with odds of 5.15.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.12.25	RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
02.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	3:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.25	Dender EH - Westerlo	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Royal Antwerp - Dender EH	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Dender EH - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTWT
- Club Brugge
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Club Brugge - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.12.25	Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge	3:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.11.25	Club Brugge - Royal Antwerp	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Club Brugge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.11.25	Club Brugge - Dender EH	2:1
30.11.24	Club Brugge - Dender EH	4:1
25.08.24	Dender EH - Club Brugge	1:2

Upcoming Matches