Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Bosuilstadion (Deurne)

Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Royal Antwerp		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.91	3.6	4.04
	1.93	3.58	3.83	Watch
	2.15	3.44	3.62	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royal Antwerp
46.3%

Draw
27.5%

Dender EH
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royal Antwerp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Royal Antwerp - Dender EH Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Antwerp (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Antwerp (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Royal Antwerp will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Antwerp (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Nozawa T. (G) 26. Bozhinov R. 25. Kouyate K. 4. Tsunashima Y. 24. Somers T. 16. Benitez M. 8. Praet D. (C) 22. Adekami F. 23. Bijl G. 9. Al Sahafi M. 30. Scott C.	30. Dietsch G. (G) 70. Sambu M. 18. Rodes N. 5. Marijnissen L. 7. Goncalves B. 88. Ferraro F. 16. Kvet R. 17. Mbamba N. 24. Viltard M. 77. Nsimba B. (C) 9. Toshevski D.
Substitutes
10. Babadi I. 2. Corbanie K. 34. Diawara M. 43. Hamdaoui Y. 7. Kerk G. 17. Renders S. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 14. Valencia A. 79. Vandeplas G.	23. Acquah D. 90. Berte M. 45. Daali A. 1. Fortin L. (G) 20. Hrncar D. 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 19. Kadiri J. A. 15. Koton K. 11. Oratmangoen R.
Coaches
Wils S.	Milkon H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Praet D. 🟨,
45', Kvet R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kvet R. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Toshevski D. ⚽, Goncalves B. (A),
57', Mbamba N. 🟨,
60', Bozhinov R. ↓, Kerk G. ↑,
61', Jahanbakhsh A. 🟨,
61', Sambu M. 🟨,
66', Toshevski D. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
68', Benitez M. ↓, Vandeplas G. ↑,
68', Scott C. ↓, Hamdaoui Y. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Kouyate K. ⚽, Adekami F. (A),
82', Bijl G. ↓, Babadi I. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Oratmangoen R. ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
90+2', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
90+5', Sambu M. ↓, Koton K. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Antwerp might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Antwerp: Engels B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hairemans G. (Knee Injury) Kerk G. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Dender EH: Cools K. (Knock) Dion M. S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Dender EH: De Fougerolles L. (Injury) Nsimba B. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Antwerp won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Antwerp won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.11.25	Royal Antwerp - RAAL La Louvière	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sint-Truidense - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Royal Antwerp - Eupen	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.25	Royal Antwerp - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
20.10.25	Standard Liège - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.11.25	Dender EH - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Club Brugge - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
28.10.25	Dender EH - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:2 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.10.25	Westerlo - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Dender EH - KV Mechelen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.12.24	Dender EH - Royal Antwerp	1:3
22.11.24	Royal Antwerp - Dender EH	1:1

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