Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 29

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go


	Deportes Limache		Deportes Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.6	3.9
	1.8	3.75	4
	1.78	3.6	4.59
	1.88	3.46	4.11	Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.7
	1.77	3.82	3.91
	1.8	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.16)	3.67 ↑ (3.35)	4.03 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
51.8%

Draw
25.2%

Deportes Santa Cruz
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Limache's performance.

Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Santa Cruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Limache that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Santa Cruz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportes Limache - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borquez M. (C) 2. Moreira R. 3. Paz G. 11. Fritz F. 24. Morales C. 7. Juarez F. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 16. Rodriguez A. 9. Da Silva N. 19. Castro D. 23. Tarifeno R.	16. Garcia M. (G) 2. Fernandez J. 3. Pino Villalon J. (C) 20. Guzman R. 23. Lauler G. 7. Ledezma I. 26. Santos M. 30. Rencoret C. 10. Barrera L. 13. Pinto M. 19. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
12. Abarzua F. (G) 27. Abuhadba Z. 18. Avello G. 17. Flores F. 20. Jara A. 22. Provoste B. 5. Silva F.	18. Ayala F. 34. Belmar M. 8. Cisterna R. 12. Henriquez Poblete M. F. (G) 11. Munoz P. 14. Ojeda Leal C. A. 5. Santelices G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Lauler G. 🟨,
21', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
42', Moreira R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
63', Rodriguez A. ↓, Provoste B. ↑,
70', Paz G. 🟨,
74', Tarifeno R. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
74', Castro D. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
75', Pinto M. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
84', Barrera L. ↓, Santelices G. ↑,
85', Gonzalez D. ↓, Belmar M. ↑,
89', Ledezma I. ↓, Cisterna R. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.10.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Limache	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Magallanes	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Antofagasta	1:3 ✺
07.09.24	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLT
- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.10.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Temuco	3:1 ✺
08.09.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Santa Cruz	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.05.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Limache	1:1

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