Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 24

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Regional de Antofagasta (Antofagasta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Antofagasta		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.40	5.00
	1.45	4.3	5.5
	1.49	4.48	5.44
	1.5	4.53	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.4	5.35
	1.45	4.15	5.91
	1.44	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.73)	4.35 ↑ (3.63)	5.44 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Antofagasta
62.3%

Draw
21%

Deportes Recoleta
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.

Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Antofagasta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 13. Abuhadba Z. 20. Cuadra A. 6. Diaz C. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 17. Hurtado B. 8. Leyton S. 31. Ramirez S. 10. Rojas D. 22. Suarez M. 4. Tapia B.	23. Salazar A. (G) 5. Alarcon F. 21. Alvarez G. 3. Arismendy N. 17. Carvajal N. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 20. Gonzalez C. 7. Provoste B. 28. Rodriguez C. 19. Sanchez P. 16. Viveros B.
Substitutes
11. Bandez J. D. 7. Bravo C. 14. Campillay K. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 21. Manzano F. 18. Sepulveda N. 23. Siegler F.	27. Flores F. 14. Lara I. 8. Martin F. 13. Narr J. (G) 33. Riveros R. 4. Tomarelli F. 11. Viveros D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Alarcon F. ⚽,
23', Hurtado B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Ramirez S. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
64', Estigarribia G. 🟨,
68', Sanchez P. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
73', Gallegos Panozzo M. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
81', Estigarribia G. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
84', Provoste B. 🟨,
85', Abuhadba Z. ↓, Siegler F. ↑,
89', Suarez M. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Flores F. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Bandez J. D. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 3.

Antofagasta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Recoleta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Antofagasta is a strong favorite.

We predict that Antofagasta will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Antofagasta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Antofagasta	26	11	8	7	44:26	18	41
6	Recoleta	26	11	8	7	38:34	4	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.08.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Antofagasta	0:4 ✺
23.08.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Temuco	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión San Felipe	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTTW
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
26.08.26	Deportes Recoleta - OHiggins	1:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.08.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Deportes Recoleta - Rangers de Talca	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.04.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2
17.08.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	0:0
12.04.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	1:2
01.09.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2
21.04.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	3:0
04.08.23	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	0:1
19.03.23	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Recoleta	3:0

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