The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 35%
Draw 29.1%
San Marcos de Arica 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
28%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
26%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Deportes Santa Cruz - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 22. Tati D. 3. Guerrero N. 20. Cavero H. 31. Romero N. 6. Orellana F. 14. Plaza D. 26. Moreno C. 35. Brito P. 30. Arias D. 36. Islame Y.
13. Tapia B. (G) 2. Campos R. 5. Rivera J. 34. Barboza A. 14. Guerra C. 8. Barrios A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 19. Maidana A. 16. Reyes G. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 18. Galleguillos A.
Substitutes
4. Alucema G. 12. Alvarado F. 23. Barrios N. 5. Camisassa B. 7. Pardo C. 1. Quezada M. 9. Zeineddin N.
20. Abalos A. 22. Donadell N. 4. Iturra M. 27. Orrego I. 10. Sagredo B. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Arias D. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Reyes G. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Maidana A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brito P. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
46', Guerrero N. ↓, Camisassa B. ↑,
49', Barboza A. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
80', Pardo C. 🟨,
80', Islame Y. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3.
Deportes Santa Cruz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Marcos de Arica is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
San Marcos de Arica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
San Marcos de Arica
26
10
9
7
33:24
9
39
14
CD Santa Cruz
26
4
10
12
27:40
-13
22
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.25%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Dobboletta J. (C) 
Tati D. 
Islame Y. 
Barboza A. 
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