The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Concepción 29.7%
Draw 27%
Universidad Católica 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
25.2%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.7%
25.4%
51.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Concepción's performance.
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Católica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Concepción that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
25%
62.5%
Deportes Concepción - Universidad Católica Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 29. Varas D. 18. Rodriguez Y. 16. Sandoval M. 15. Montecinos J. 20. Henriquez J. 30. Espinoza E. 32. Larrivey J. (C)
27. Melo D. (G) 28. Cerezo B. 19. Ampuero B. 26. Diaz J. 3. Mena E. 8. Zuqui F. 20. Valencia J. 25. Corral D. 15. Cuevas C. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
27. Acosta D. 3. Carrasco D. 24. Cavalleri M. 9. Escobar C. 19. Jara A. 8. Martinez F. 23. Riquelme C. 7. Romero F. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)
13. Canales A. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 39. L’Huillier N. 14. Martinez J. A. 10. Palavecino M. 4. Perez I. 18. Rossel J. 12. Valdes F. (G)
Coaches
Diaz F.
Garnero D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Cerezo B. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Montecinos J. ⚽,
26', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
30', Valencia J. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Larrivey J. ⚽, Montecinos J. (A),
42', Garnero D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cuevas C. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
55', Grillo F. 🟨,
66', Ampuero B. 🟨,
67', Montecinos J. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Rodriguez N. ⚽, Henriquez J. (A),
69', Corral D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
69', Giani J. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
69', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
79', Henriquez J. ↓, Riquelme C. ↑,
79', Larrivey J. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
85', Espinoza E. ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
85', Cerezo B. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
85', Valencia J. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
90+3', Diaz J. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Deportes Concepción may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of home games.
Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Usa
Watch
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Araya N. (G) 
Rodriguez N. 
Grillo F. 
Valencia J. 
Acosta D. 
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