Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 14

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bueras (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Magallanes		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.45	3
	2.14	3.6	3.12
	2.36	3.36	2.86	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.1	3.66	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	3.02 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
42.9%

Draw
26.6%

Deportes Iquique
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Olguin M. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. (C) 6. James J. 30. Salinas Flores H. 7. Toledo A. 21. Quiroz J. 28. Guzman G. 12. Coronel S. 9. Peraza F. 20. Farfan R.	25. Lopez Z. (G) 14. Rojas D. 15. Ayala J. 21. Espinoza F. 26. Ledesma F. 5. Concha V. 8. Venezia A. 18. Garrido B. 23. Pereyra J. 11. Ramos A. (C) 24. Barrera B.
Substitutes
23. Alegre M. 18. Berrios E. 35. Cabezas V. 11. Fredes M. 16. Osorio M. . Riffo M. (G) 24. Yanez F.	19. Arias D. 12. Castillo D. (G) 16. Contreras S. 7. Gonzalez I. 27. Henriquez A. 20. Orellana D. 28. Troncoso L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Guzman G. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Peraza F. ⚽,
28', Pereyra J. 🟨,
36', Walters A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Concha V. ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
46', Pereyra J. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
46', Farfan R. ↓, Osorio M. ↑,
46', Osorio M. 🟨,
52', 2 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Venezia A. ⚽,
59', 3 - 2, Osorio M. ⚽,
61', Quiroz J. 🟨,
62', 3 - 3, Rojas D. ⚽,
72', Peraza F. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
72', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
75', Barrera B. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
81', Venezia A. ↓, Troncoso L. ↑,
88', Guzman G. ↓, Cabezas V. ↑,
90', 4 - 3, Cabezas V. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Magallanes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magallanes	26	12	7	7	42:38	4	43
12	Deportes Iquique	26	7	10	9	35:30	5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.05.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Magallanes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.05.26	Deportes Iquique - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
18.05.26	Unión Española - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Deportes Iquique - Rangers de Talca	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.07.22	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Iquique	1:0
15.03.22	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Magallanes	1:1
27.09.21	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Iquique	2:2
23.05.21	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Magallanes	1:1

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