Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	ESPN 5
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Deportes Iquique		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.53	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.6
	5.5	4.2	1.55	Watch
	5.73	4.18	1.55
	5.78	4.23	1.56	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.57	Watch
	6.18	4.15	1.54	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↑ (5.57)	4.08 ↑ (3.9)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
16.5%

Draw
23.1%

Atlético Mineiro
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

24%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

23.4%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Atlético MG (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Mineiro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Requena L. (G) 7. Gomez J. 3. Ferreyra T. 26. Saborit E. 13. Jorquera M. 16. Soto B. 5. Fuentes C. 23. Hoyos E. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 11. Ramos A. (C) 9. Javier Parraguez	22. Everson (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 47. Romulus 6. Alonso J. (C) 44. Rubens 17. Igor Gomes 10. Gustavo Scarpa 30. Palacios Alzate B. 11. Bernard 38. Caio Paulista 33. Rony
Substitutes
28. Binimelis H. (G) 30. Blazquez M. 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 17. Gonzalez C. 27. Henriquez A. 50. Marcotti L. 29. Moya M. 20. Orellana D. 10. Puch E. 1. Reyes M. (G) 15. Rodriguez C. 4. Rojas D.	28. Cuello 8. Fausto Vera 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 16. Igor Rabello 19. Joao Marcelo 37. Junior Santos 2. Natanael 20. Patrick Silva 31. Robert (G) 23. Roman I. 14. Vitor Hugo 27. Ze Phelipe
Coaches
Diaz F.	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Rubens ⚽, Igor Gomes (A),
15', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
27', Igor Gomes 🟨,
33', Javier Parraguez ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
34', 1 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽, Orellana D. (A),
45+2', Jorquera M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Igor Gomes ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
46', Palacios Alzate B. ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
46', Fuentes C. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
46', Hoyos E. ↓, Puch E. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Ramos A. ⚽,
58', Rubens 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Orellana D. ⚽, Jorquera M. (A),
62', Renzo Saravia ↓, Natanael ↑,
62', Caio Paulista ↓, Cuello ↑,
76', Ramos A. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Bernard ⚽, Junior Santos (A),
90+2', Fernandez C. D. N. 🟨,
90+4', Soto B. 🟨,
90+6', Jorquera M. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Deportes Iquique have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético MG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Iquique won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
04.05.25	Deportes Iquique - Huachipato	3:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
30.04.25	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Copiapó	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.04.25	OHiggins - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Deportes Iquique - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.04.25	Deportes Limache - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTTL
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
05.05.25	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Maringá - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Caracas - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
10.04.25	Atlético Mineiro - Deportes Iquique	4:0

Upcoming Matches