The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 42.5%
Draw 28.6%
Deportes Santa Cruz 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
25.4%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
24.6%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes La Serena's form might have worsened.
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Deportes La Serena - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 20. Sanhueza D. 5. Alarcon L. 19. Cortes M. 3. Osorio R. 7. Lobos C. 21. Espinoza E. 6. Diaz S. 8. Molina S. 16. Figueroa J. 9. Altamirano L.
16. Garcia M. (G) 2. Fernandez J. 3. Pino Villalon J. (C) 23. Lauler G. 7. Ledezma I. 18. Ayala F. 26. Santos M. 30. Rencoret C. 10. Barrera L. 13. Pinto M. 31. Munoz C.
Substitutes
27. Dubo Vergara R. M. 37. Gallardo G. 36. Guajardo Barrera B. 17. Guerrero E. 22. Ramirez M. 28. Rinaldi L. 31. Tapia J. (G)
15. Fernandez E. 1. Flores G. (G) 29. Gaete J. 19. Gonzalez D. 8. Ogaz B. 14. Ojeda Leal C. A. 24. Salgado D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Munoz C. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Altamirano L. ⚽,
20', Barrera L. 🟨,
34', Santos M. 🟨,
39', Garcia M. 🟨,
41', Diaz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gaete J. 🟨,
46', Fernandez J. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
56', Lobos C. 🟨,
60', Espinoza E. ↓, Rinaldi L. ↑,
70', Pinto M. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
73', Munoz C. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
86', Lauler G. 🟨,
86', Figueroa J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Rinaldi L. ⚽,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
Deportes La Serena in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Deportes Santa Cruz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Deportes La Serena will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
Watch
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Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 
Altamirano L. 
Santos M. 
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