Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 9

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)

Referee: Assadi Quintana M. H. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium


	Deportes La Serena		Everton de Viña

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.21	3.39	3.42
	2.18	3.26	3.36	Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.23	3.32	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 (2.18)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)	3.31 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
42.9%

Draw
28.9%

Everton de Viña
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Everton de Viña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportes La Serena - Everton de Viña Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 2. Zanini A. 33. Delgado R. 17. Salazar Y. 4. Mac Allister F. 23. Marin M. 16. Gutierrez J. 14. Chamorro F. 10. Vargas J. (C) 11. Rubio D.	1. Gonzalez I. (G) 35. Soto L. 4. Magallanes H. 24. Oyarzun D. (C) 14. Baeza N. 29. Martinez B. 7. Moya J. 21. Berrios B. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 10. Medina A. 40. Montiel N.
Substitutes
5. Alarcon L. 15. Contreras B. 6. Diaz S. 26. Dinamarca F. 9. Henriquez A. 28. Orellana J. 22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 34. Stefanelli N. 20. Velasquez M.	9. Alfaro J. 18. Chadwick Bosco C. A. 5. Gonzalez R. 25. Kirkman E. (G) 22. Londono S. 36. Navarro B. 19. Vega V. 37. Vidal V. 20. Villagran
Coaches
Gutierrez F.	Ribonetto W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Vargas J. ⚽,
43', Martinez B. 🟨,
45', Marin M. 🟨,
45+3', Ramos Aviles E. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramos Aviles E. M. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
46', Montiel N. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
59', Marin M. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
75', Gutierrez J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
75', Martinez B. ↓, Villagran ↑,
75', Chamorro F. 🟨,
88', Soto L. ↓, Chadwick Bosco C. A. ↑,
89', Diaz S. 🟨,
90+2', Rubio D. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
90+2', Chamorro F. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
90+6', Berrios B. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1.

Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Everton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of away games.

Deportes La Serena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now

Everton: 0.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Everton	23	10	6	7	37:25	12	36
10	La Serena	23	7	9	7	34:38	-4	30

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes La Serena - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.82%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
05.04.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	4:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
28.03.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.03.26	Ñublense - Deportes La Serena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLTT
- Everton de Viña
Chilean Primera Division
04.04.26	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	0:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
31.03.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes Limache	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Everton de Viña - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Palestino - Everton de Viña	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.26	Universidad Católica - Everton de Viña	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
28.08.25	Everton de Viña - Deportes La Serena	3:1
13.04.25	Deportes La Serena - Everton de Viña	2:1
26.08.22	Everton de Viña - Deportes La Serena	4:0
01.04.22	Deportes La Serena - Everton de Viña	1:3
28.09.21	Deportes La Serena - Everton de Viña	0:2
30.04.21	Everton de Viña - Deportes La Serena	0:4

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