Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 1

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Deportes Limache		Santiago Morning

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	1.96	3.55	3.66
	1.96	3.55	3.66
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.94	3.53	3.54
	1.92	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	3.46 ↑ (3.46)	3.54 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
47.5%

Draw
26.5%

Santiago Morning
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Deportes Limache - Santiago Morning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Alvarez M. (G) 2. Moreira R. 5. Silva F. 7. Juarez F. 9. Da Silva N. 10. Cesped A. 11. Fritz F. 16. Rodriguez A. 17. Flores F. (C) 19. Castro D. 24. Morales C.	26. Munoz H. (G) 17. Tapia D. 13. Opazo D. 15. Santander J. (C) 3. Rodriguez J. 7. Muga C. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. 33. Carreno J. 14. Campillay K. 30. Barrientos J. 11. Paredes R.
Substitutes
1. Borquez M. (G) 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 22. Carcamo M. 3. Diaz R. 4. Escobar Acuna R. A. 20. Jara A. 26. Ramirez T.	25. Arancibia M. 27. Coronado M. 5. Gatica M. 20. Lerman T. 12. Olguin M. (G) 10. Ortega O. 8. Salazar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
14', Tapia D. 🟨,
21', Moreira R. 🟨,
23', Barrientos J. 🟨,
25', Moreira R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Barrientos J. ↓, Coronado M. ↑,
46', Carreno J. ↓, Ortega O. ↑,
46', Castro D. ↓, Cabrera Figueroa L. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Escobar Acuna R. A. ↑,
53', Ortega O. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Flores F. (Pen),
70', Juarez F. ↓, Ramirez T. ↑,
73', Tapia D. ↓, Arancibia M. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Da Silva N. ⚽,
77', Coronado M. ↓, Lerman T. ↑,
78', Munoz H. 🟨,
80', Da Silva N. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
85', Flores F. ↓, Carcamo M. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Muga C. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,
90+10', 🟥,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Limache is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santiago Morning is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Limache is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Limache to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
11.05.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Limache	1:2 ✺
29.04.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Deportes Limache - Santiago Wanderers	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Limache	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWTW
- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.05.24	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Santiago Morning - Santiago Wanderers	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Santiago Morning - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Morning	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Santiago Morning - Deportes Antofagasta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWTL

Upcoming Matches