The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Iquique 51.4%
Draw 26.6%
Deportes Recoleta 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
26.8%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
26.3%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Deportes Iquique - Deportes Recoleta Predictions
Users Predictions:
Deportes Iquique will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Castillo D. (G) 14. Rojas D. 15. Ayala J. 21. Espinoza F. 26. Ledesma F. 5. Concha V. 8. Venezia A. 18. Garrido B. 7. Gonzalez I. 24. Barrera B. 11. Ramos A.
22. Vargas J. (G) 4. Tomarelli F. 14. Lara I. 16. Viveros B. 28. Rodriguez C. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Provoste B. 20. Gonzalez C. 19. Sanchez P. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 21. Alvarez G.
Substitutes
19. Arias D. 16. Contreras S. 31. Diaz I. 27. Henriquez A. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 23. Pereyra J. 33. Tello D.
5. Alarcon F. 10. Arguinarena M. 15. Baez F. 17. Carvajal N. 23. Salazar A. (G) 32. Valenzuela T. 11. Viveros D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Venezia A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Ayala J. 🟨,
59', Lara I. 🟨,
65', Venezia A. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
65', Lara I. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
77', Alvarez G. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
77', Rodriguez C. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
77', Espinoza J. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
80', Barrera B. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
80', Gonzalez I. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
82', Provoste B. ↓, Alarcon F. ↑,
85', Pereyra J. 🟨,
89', Ramos A. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
90+4', Viveros B. 🟨,
90+6', Estigarribia G. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
Deportes Iquique is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Recoleta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes Iquique may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Deportes Iquique is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Chile
Watch
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Castillo D. (G) 
Ayala J. 
Ledesma F. 
Tello D. 
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