Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 17

Date: 19 July 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go


	Deportes Limache		Deportes Temuco

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.1
	1.63	3.75	5
	1.59	3.77	5.36
	1.63	3.76	5.4	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.5
	1.61	3.76	5.22
	1.6	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.88)	3.7 ↑ (3.28)	5.08 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
57.1%

Draw
24.8%

Deportes Temuco
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Limache's performance.

Deportes Temuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Temuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Limache that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Temuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Deportes Limache - Deportes Temuco Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Limache will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportes Temuco will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Alvarez M. (G) 18. Avello G. 2. Moreira R. 3. Paz G. 11. Fritz F. 29. Pinto G. 10. Cesped A. 22. Provoste B. 20. Jara A. 9. Da Silva N. 23. Tarifeno R. (C)	13. Urra Y. (C) 2. Penailillo A. 23. Gonzalez V. 5. Concha V. 17. Villegas Jara G. 27. Nunez C. 20. Cortes F. 10. Espinoza F. 11. Abisab M. 22. Castro Gutierrez J. 19. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
21. Abdala J. 1. Borquez M. (G) 19. Castro D. 13. Diaz R. 17. Flores F. 15. Munoz Alister N. 5. Silva F.	32. Baeza G. 30. Bustamante B. 1. Garrido J. (G) 8. Lavin V. 15. Melivilu Fuentes C. 6. Sobarzo D. 24. Velasquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
33', Da Silva N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tarifeno R. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
64', Cortes F. ↓, Baeza G. ↑,
70', Abisab M. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
76', Castro Gutierrez J. ↓, Melivilu Fuentes C. ↑,
76', Espinoza F. ↓, Bustamante B. ↑,
77', Jara A. 🟨,
78', Provoste B. 🟨,
79', Jara A. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
82', Velasquez J. 🟨,
85', Baeza G. 🟨,
90', Bustamante B. 🟨,
90+4', Melivilu Fuentes C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Limache is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportes Temuco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Limache is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Limache won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.07.24	Santiago Morning - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
17.06.24	Barnechea - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.06.24	Deportes Limache - Barnechea	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
20.05.24	Deportes Limache - San Marcos de Arica	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL
- Deportes Temuco
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.07.24	Deportes Temuco - San Marcos de Arica	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
29.06.24	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Temuco	2:3 penalties ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.06.24	Deportes Temuco - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.03.24	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Limache	2:3

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