The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Temuco 43.9%
Draw 27.2%
San Marcos de Arica 28.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.8%
28.7%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
28.1%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Temuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Deportes Temuco - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportes Temuco will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Urra Y. (G) 23. Gonzalez R. 28. Casanova L. 35. Torrealba B. 8. Troncoso B. 15. Valdivia B. 18. Buonanotte D. 27. Nunez C. 12. Rocha C. 16. Rivera Faundez N. A. 19. Sanchez D.
13. Tapia B. (G) 8. Barrios A. 14. Guerra C. 17. Moya Godoy M. 23. Cazula A. 15. Cubillos G. 18. Galleguillos A. 19. Maidana A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 22. Donadell N.
Substitutes
9. Acevedo L. 30. Astete N. 6. Contreras P. 1. Garrido J. (G) 10. Molina S. 11. Reynero F. 3. Sanhueza M.
20. Abalos A. 2. Campos R. 4. Iturra M. 24. Pereira D. 16. Reyes G. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Sanchez D. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Donadell N. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Donadell N. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Donadell N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Galleguillos A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
46', Rocha C. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
46', Molina S. 🟨,
50', Pereira D. 🟨,
77', Valdivia B. ↓, Acevedo L. ↑,
77', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Campos R. ↑,
77', Donadell N. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
82', Pereira D. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 8th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Temuco won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
San Marcos de Arica may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Temuco has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:11 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Temuco against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
San Marcos de Arica
29
11
10
8
35:28
7
43
12
Deportes Temuco
29
9
9
11
45:41
4
36
Last Results with these Odds
San Marcos de Arica - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.56%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Urra Y. (G) 
Buonanotte D. 
Nunez C. 
Zedan N. 
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