Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 4

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)


	Deportes Limache		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.05	3.1
	2.4	3.18	3.17
	2	3.16	3.96	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.23	3.04	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.98)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
41.7%

Draw
29.8%

OHiggins
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Limache, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Deportes Limache - OHiggins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borquez M. (G) 2. Aguirre A. 26. Arturia M. 19. Castro D. 6. Fuentes C. 23. Gonzalez Y. 16. Jean David 25. Llanten M. 8. Montecinos J. 24. Parot A. (C) 27. Ramon Martinez	31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 8. Felipe Ogaz 21. Garrido N. 24. Gonzalez F. 11. Leiva J. 14. Maturana M. 27. Movillo J. 6. Pavez L. 10. Rabello B. (C) 32. Vecino T.
Substitutes
15. Alvarez V. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 11. Marin F. 3. Molina B. 7. Morales C. 21. Moya F. 29. Oyarzun F. 9. Sosa G. 28. Vargas V.	33. Brizuela M. 9. Castillo A. 20. Diaz L. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 15. Rojas B. 28. Schamine B. 29. Yanez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Ramon Martinez ↓, Moya F. ↑,
44', Castro D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Montecinos J. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Morales C. ⚽,
60', Borquez M. 🟨,
67', Maturana M. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
67', Rabello B. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
75', Leiva J. ↓, Martin Sarrafiore ↑,
75', Felipe Ogaz ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Vecino T. ⚽,
80', Arturia M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
85', 🟨,
87', Vecino T. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,

Preview

Limache is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

OHiggins has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Limache may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Limache could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Limache won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Limache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

OHiggins - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.4%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
31.03.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes Limache	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLWW
- OHiggins
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	OHiggins - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.04.26	Ñublense - OHiggins	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Cobresal - OHiggins	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	São Paulo - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
10.04.26	OHiggins - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
22.03.26	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
14.02.26	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	2:1
22.08.25	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	2:2
29.03.25	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	3:1

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